MAY 10, 2020 4:17 PM PDT

Forecasting Urbanization for The Next 100 Years

WRITTEN BY: Nouran Amin

The new simulation model created by researchers at the University of Delaware addresses the concept of urbanization. The model can predict how society and economics can produce changes in urban land over the course of 100 years.

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"Mining historical data revealed that there are three different urbanization styles: urbanized, steadily urbanizing and rapidly urbanizing," says Jing Gao, an assistant professor of geography and spatial sciences in UD's College of Earth, Ocean and Environment. "And countries evolve from rapidly urbanizing to steadily urbanizing to urbanized over time."

The stimulation findings were published in Nature Communications and unfolds the future urbanized changes decade by decade. The first study to leverage data for long-term forecasting in the urbanization of cities.

"This is where our projections can inform policy and planning," said Gao. "These projections can help researchers and analysts understand how large-scale changes that occur over a long time period, such as climate change, may affect local urban areas."

Source: Science Daily

About the Author
  • Nouran earned her BS and MS in Biology at IUPUI and currently shares her love of science by teaching. She enjoys writing on various topics as well including science & medicine, global health, and conservation biology. She hopes through her writing she can make science more engaging and communicable to the general public.
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