MENU
DEC 03, 2020 10:00 AM PST

Keynote Presentation: COVID-19 Projections for the United States

C.E. Credits: P.A.C.E. CE Florida CE
Speaker

Abstract

Cases and deaths continue to increase steadily in most states. The pace of increase is faster than we expected, leading us to revise upward IHME forecast of deaths and cases into the future. Our forecast assumes that states will re-impose social distancing mandates as the daily death rate exceeds 8 per million. If they do not, the death toll could be much higher. Hospital systems in most states will be under severe stress during December and January even in our best scenario. IHME has substantially revised the infection-fatality rate (IFR) used in the model. We have now accumulated considerable empirical evidence that suggests that 1) the IFR has been declining since March/April due to improvements in the clinical management of patients, and 2) the IFR varies as a function of the level of obesity in a community. Even with the improvement in IFR, the seasonality of COVID-19 with the winter months will results in a rise of cases and deaths. Vaccines will improve the situation in 2021 but will not impact the situation in the coming 2 months. Increasing mask use to 95% can save many lives.

Learning Objectives:

1. What are the drivers of COVID-19 surge in the U.S.?

2. What are the projected numbers of cases and deaths?

3. What are the measures to contain the virus?


Show Resources
You May Also Like
SEP 17, 2021 12:00 PM CST
C.E. CREDITS
SEP 17, 2021 12:00 PM CST
Date: September 16, 2021 Time: 9:00pm (PDT), 12:00am (EDT) 3D cellular models like organoids and spheroids offer an opportunity to better understand complex biology in a physiologically rele...
SEP 14, 2021 7:00 AM PDT
C.E. CREDITS
SEP 14, 2021 7:00 AM PDT
Date: September 14, 2021 Time: 7am PDT, 10am EDT, 4pm CEST A conventional thermal cycler has long been a commodity product in the lab and end-point PCR techniques can be completed almost wit...
APR 01, 2021 8:00 AM PDT
C.E. CREDITS
APR 01, 2021 8:00 AM PDT
Date: April 01, 2021 Time: 8:00am (PST), 11:00am (EST) Generating therapeutic antibodies is far more challenging than obtaining antibodies that merely recognize their targets. Engineering po...
APR 21, 2021 10:00 AM PDT
C.E. CREDITS
APR 21, 2021 10:00 AM PDT
Date: April 21, 2021 Time: 10:00am (PDT), 1:00pm (EDT) Serological testing for SARS-CoV-2 has been steadily adopted into clinical practice over the course of this pandemic. In this webinar,...
MAY 11, 2021 10:00 AM PDT
C.E. CREDITS
MAY 11, 2021 10:00 AM PDT
Date: May 11, 2021 Time: 10:00zm PDT Your samples are some of the most valuable assets in the laboratory. After spending countless hours on extraction and preparation, your conclusions could...
MAR 18, 2021 8:00 AM PDT
C.E. CREDITS
MAR 18, 2021 8:00 AM PDT
DATE: March 18, 2021 TIME: 8:00am PDT Sequencing of bulk cells, single cells, and nuclei is opening doors in the understanding of complex biological processes....
Loading Comments...
Show Resources