MENU
DEC 03, 2020 10:00 AM PST

Keynote Presentation: COVID-19 Projections for the United States

C.E. Credits: P.A.C.E. CE Florida CE
Speaker
  • Chief Strategy Officer, Population Health, University of Washington
    Biography

      Ali H. Mokdad, PhD, is Professor of Health Metrics Sciences at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and Chief Strategy Officer for Population Health at the University of Washington. Prior to IHME, Dr. Mokdad worked at the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. He has published groundbreaking research on local-level disease trends and leading risk factors for poor health. His work on obesity is among the most highly cited in the field.


    Abstract

    Cases and deaths continue to increase steadily in most states. The pace of increase is faster than we expected, leading us to revise upward IHME forecast of deaths and cases into the future. Our forecast assumes that states will re-impose social distancing mandates as the daily death rate exceeds 8 per million. If they do not, the death toll could be much higher. Hospital systems in most states will be under severe stress during December and January even in our best scenario. IHME has substantially revised the infection-fatality rate (IFR) used in the model. We have now accumulated considerable empirical evidence that suggests that 1) the IFR has been declining since March/April due to improvements in the clinical management of patients, and 2) the IFR varies as a function of the level of obesity in a community. Even with the improvement in IFR, the seasonality of COVID-19 with the winter months will results in a rise of cases and deaths. Vaccines will improve the situation in 2021 but will not impact the situation in the coming 2 months. Increasing mask use to 95% can save many lives.

    Learning Objectives:

    1. What are the drivers of COVID-19 surge in the U.S.?

    2. What are the projected numbers of cases and deaths?

    3. What are the measures to contain the virus?


    Show Resources
    You May Also Like
    DEC 03, 2020 4:30 PM PST
    C.E. CREDITS
    DEC 03, 2020 4:30 PM PST
    This drug development program is designed to create a family of broad-spectrum, pan-coronaviral drugs that respectively inhibit multiple key enzymes required for viral replication. By target...
    NOV 18, 2020 8:00 AM PST
    C.E. CREDITS
    NOV 18, 2020 8:00 AM PST
    DATE: November 18, 2020 TIME: 08:00am PDT We develop and implement technologies to solve some of the major bottlenecks in biomedical research. In particular, we establish new imaging approac...
    FEB 24, 2021 10:00 AM PST
    C.E. CREDITS
    FEB 24, 2021 10:00 AM PST
    DATE: February 24, 2021 TIME: 10am PST Automated lab instruments such as liquid handlers and cell sorters are increasingly common in all types of laboratories, driving fast results for labor...
    OCT 29, 2020 6:00 AM PDT
    C.E. CREDITS
    OCT 29, 2020 6:00 AM PDT
    Date: October 29, 2020 Time: 6:00am (PDT), 9:00am (EDT), Chronic inflammation can occur as a result of a combination of genetic predispositions and environmental factors. Epigenetic modifica...
    C.E. CREDITS
    Antibody tests are important tools to assess the efficacy of vaccine candidates and to derive suitable vaccination modalities. High specificity and sensitivity are of great importance for th...
    JAN 21, 2021 8:00 AM PST
    JAN 21, 2021 8:00 AM PST
    Date: January 21, 2021 Time: 8:00am (PST), 11:00am (EST) Today, critical reagent characterization is a key component in the overall workflow to establish robust ligand binding assays (e.g.,...
    Loading Comments...
    Show Resources
    Attendees
    • See more